Paul McCulley (chief economist at
Pimco) had an article
in the Financial Times yesterday saying that the Fed is moving towards applying
the same rules to shadow banks as apply to regular banks, and ended with this
paragraph:
“The Fed is taking vital steps
towards turning shadow banking – and the shadow money it creates – into a
public-private partnership, much as was done with regular banking 100 years
ago. This is wise. Individuals and small businesses are not alone in needing a
safe form of private money.”
Certainly applying the same rules
to each type of bank makes sense. Or as Adair Turner put it, “If it looks like
a bank and quacks like a bank” it should be treated like a bank.
But “quacking” apart, there are
flaws in McCulley’s argument, as follows.
First, what’s the merit in his
“public-private partnership” given that a government and central bank (gbc) can
create and spend any amount of money into an economy anytime? I.e. private
money creators just aren’t needed. So what’s the point of the “partnership”?
Moreover, while private money
creation leads to chaos (the recent crisis was largely a run on shadow banks in
the US), gcb can create and net spend an amount of money that keeps employment
as high as is compatible with avoiding too much inflation.
Of course, gcb is far from 100%
competent at the latter task, but even the advocates of private money creation
agree that it’s desirable to for gcb to counter the business cycle by for
example adjusting interest rates, implementing QE or whatever (and that
involves money creation).
Incidentally, by “net-spend” I mean
create and spend money into the economy net of money WITHDRAWN from the economy
(i.e. tax). In short the amount of “net-spending” equals the deficit.
Safe money.
And then there is McCulley’s final
sentence: “Individuals and small businesses are not alone in needing a safe
form of private money.”
Clearly businesses and households
should be able to lodge money in a totally safe manner if they want. But where
gcb underwrites privately created money, it is effectively subsidising the
loans and investments made with that money. (That’s what private banks do with
money they get from depositors and other creditors: they lend most of it on).
And subsidies are not justified unless some very good social justification can
be found for a subsidy.
Ergo the best policy in this area
is:
1. For private money creation to be
banned or severely restricted.
2. For gcb to provide a totally
safe method of lodging money for those who want total safety. Indeed, that
function is already performed in the UK by gcb to a limited extent: National
Savings and Investments provides that service.
3. As for the lending function that
private banks perform, there is no reason for gcb (i.e. taxpayers) to subsidies
or underwrite that process.
And what do you know? That’s what
full reserve banking is.
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