Maturity tansformation (MT) equals
“borrow short and lend long”. It’s one of the basic activities of commercial
banks.
Most economists, two of whom are
listed below, think MT achieves something. In particular they think that it
enables the short term savings of depositors to be “transformed” into long term
loans. It seems that savings that would otherwise be unused can be usefully
employed.
In fact MTing instant access accounts
is a pointless activity.
Keep it simple.
Let’s start with a simple economy
where there is no private bank created money. That is, there is an adequate
supply of some sort of base money, perhaps gold coins or government issued fiat
money. Plus I’ll assume the economy is at full employment equilibrium. Plus I’ll assume to start with that no lending
takes place. In that scenario, people and firms would maintain a sufficient
stock of money to enable them to do day to day transactions. For example, wage
earners would maintain a sufficient stock of money to tide them over from one
pay day to the next, plus some of them would maintain a stock of “rainy day”
money to deal with unforseen emergencies. Indeed, the economics text books refer
to those two motives for holding money: they’re normally called the “transaction”
motive and the “precautionary” motive.
Lending starts.
Now suppose people and firms start
to lend to each other (via their banks) with a view to funding investments. You
might think it would make sense for banks to fund loans by making use of some
of the money that customers had placed with those banks. Of course that would
mean that were all those customers to turn up at once and demand all their
money back, banks wouldn’t have the money. But that wouldn’t matter because the
chance of all customers, or even half of them, turning up at once is small.
And that of course is exactly what
commercial banks do in the real world: that is, the vast majority of customers’
money which banks claim to be instantly available just isn’t there.
So MT has taken place and it seems
to have achieved something: those loans have been funded with money that was
apparently lying idle.
But there’s a catch as follows.
Creating or building those new
investments (roads, houses, factories, etc) raises demand. And given the above
assumtion namely that the economy is already at capacity, that isn’t possible
without causing excess inflation.
Put that another way, to make real
resources available to enable the creation of those investments, it is
necessary to dissuade households, i.e. bank customers, from consuming so much.
That can be done in the case of public investments by EXPROPRIATING money from
bank customers in the form of tax. Or it can be done by raising interest rates,
which would induce some bank customers to abstain from current consumption and
place funds in saving accounts.
Current / checking account
money cannot be “transformed”.
In short, current / checking
account money (including the “precautionary” element) is money which each
account holder WILL USE at some point in time. Thus such money cannot be MTed. In contrast, deposit or term account money is
money that the account holder is definitely given up access to for a specific
period. That CAN BE MTed. Though clearly there is no sharp distinction between
those two types of account.
New money.
The above can be put another way.
Where a commercial bank DOES go throught the motions of MTing instant access
money, it’s not actually MTing at all: it’s creating new money and lending it
out. To illustrate, where £X in instant access accounts is allegedly loaned on,
holders of those account still regard themselves as being the pround owners of
£X, while the borrower ALSO HAS £X at their disposal. Hey presto: £X has been
turned into £2X.
_________
1. Vickers, J. (2012) ‘Some
Economics of Banking Reform’. Oxford Department of Economics Discussion Paper
632. On
p.5 Vickers advocates MT. He says: “banks engage in maturity transformation
insofar as they ‘borrow short but lend long’. This brings huge efficiency
benefits…..It is efficient because it reconciles the freedom for depositors to
meet their short-term liquidity needs with the financing of long-term lending
both to households (e.g. residential mortgages) and for corporate investment.”
2.
Krugman
says “I think of the whole bank regulation issue in terms of
Diamond-Dybvig, which sees banks as institutions that allow individuals ready
access to their money, while at the same time allowing most of that money to be
invested in illiquid assets. That’s a productive activity, because it allows
the economy to have its cake and eat it too, providing liquidity without
foregoing long-term, illiquid investments.”
"And given the above assumtion namely that the economy is already at capacity, that isn’t possible without causing excess inflation."
ReplyDeleteI see this assumption a lot. I think it is a denial of potential efficiency improvements. Money can be used to create a more efficient machine which will replace labor. The clothing industry is a prime example where we have moved from hand made cloth to machine made cloth, and then on from hand stitched clothing to machine stitched clothing.
I think DEFLATION resulted from mechanization of the fabric based industry.
In assuming the economy is at capacity, I didn’t mean to suggest that the maximum possible GDP is fixed for all time: obviously technological improvements mean that the max possible GDP will rise in the long term. What I meant was that assuming the economy is at capacity at a particular point in time, then anyone spotting a viable investment will have to induce some set of people to abstain from current consumption in order to make that investment possible.
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