Andrea
Leadsom is a UK politician who has served on various banking committees and
knows a fair amount about the subject. She took part in the parliamentary debate
on money creation on 20th November. However, it would have been good
if she had better acquainted herself with full reserve banking or what she calls a “sovereign
money” system before speaking on the subject. I’ll deal with her reservations
and questions about sovereign money (SM). Her words are in black italics, and
my comments are in green.
I will touch on what we are doing to
change the regulations and the culture, but first I will set out why we do not
believe that the right solution is the wholesale replacement of the current
system by something else, such as a sovereign monetary system. Under a
sovereign monetary system, it would be the state, not banks, that creates new
money. The central bank, via a committee, would decide how much money is
created and this money would mostly be transferred to the Government. Lending
would come from the pool of customers’ investment account deposits held by
commercial banks.
Such a system would raise a number of
very important questions. How would that committee assess how much money should
be created to meet the inflation target and support the economy?
Answer: in much the
same way as EXISTING committees of economists determine how much stimulus is
suitable. Those committees are two in number in the case of the UK: the Bank of
England Monetary Policy Committee and the Office for Budget Responsibility
(OBR). Moreover, over the last two years we have actually had a sovereign money
system in that we have implemented fiscal stimulus and followed that by QE.
That comes to the same thing as government printing money and spending it
(and/or cutting taxes).
If the central bank had the power to
finance the Government’s policies, what would the implications be for the
credibility of the fiscal framework and the Government’s ability to borrow from
the market if they needed to?
The “credibility of
the fiscal framework” does not inspire a huge amount of confidence or “credibility”
under the EXISTING SYSTEM, in that fiscal stimulus is determined by
politicians, who (as David Hume pointed out over 200 years ago) have a habit of
borrowing too much rather than raise taxes, and with a view to ingratiating
themselves with voters. Or at least such “credibility” was distinctly lacking
until the arrival of one of the above mentioned committees of economists,
namely the OBR.
The arrival of the
OBR has not changed things out of all recognition of course, but most people
have more confidence in committees of economists than in politicians (though of
course decisions which are clearly political, like what proportion of GDP is
allocated to public spending should always be left in the hands of politicians
and the electorate).
What would be the impact on the
availability of credit for businesses and households?
Seriously: can’t Ms
Leadsom work that one out for herself? Anyway, the answer is that an SM system
removes all forms of bank subsidy, thus lending costs would probably rise
somewhat. But far from reducing GDP, the effect ought to be a RISE in GDP, and
for the simple reason that subsidies misallocate resources (i.e. reduce GDP).
Would not credit become pro-cyclical?
Hilarious. We’ve just experienced a near disastrous episode of “cyclicality”:
the credit crunch. Indeed had not governments bailed out banks with TRILLIONS
of dollars of public money, the world economy would have half collapsed.
In short, SM may have its faults, but it can’t possibly be worse
than the existing system.
Would we not incentivise financing
households over businesses, because for businesses, banks would presumably
expect the state to step in?
The VAST MAJORITY of
bank lending is ALREADY devoted to “financing households” (i.e. mortgages),
rather than businesses! As to why “the
state” is more likely to rescue banks that have loaned to businesses, I’m
baffled. And I’m even more baffled as to why that would exacerbate the existing
preference that banks have for mortgages rather than loans to businesses.
Would we not be encouraging the
emergence of an unregulated set of new shadow banks?
Obviously banks will
try to get round any rules, and setting up shadow banks is a possible way round
rules. But that applies to ALL LAWS relating to banks. If Ms Leadsom thinks
that problem will be far worse as a result of SM that other forms of bank
regulation, she needs to tell us why.
In any case, I
suspect most advocates of SM fully agree with the point made by Adair Turner,
namely that “If it looks like a bank and quacks like a bank” it should be
treated like a bank and obey banking law. In short, shadow banks should be
regulated just like regular banks.
Would not the introduction of a totally
new system, untested across modern advanced economies, create unnecessary risk
at a time when people need stability?
That’s a completely
fatuous, all purpose argument against change of ANY SORT. Steam powered
railways, aeroplanes, computers, you name it were all “untested systems” at
some stage.
And
finally, I particularly like this phrase uttered by Ms Leadsom later in the
debate. In reference to the alleged defects of SM, she said, “we would then be
looking at a committee of middle-aged, white men deciding what the economy needs..”
Well
the first flaw there is that WE ALREADY HAVE two committees of “middle-aged,
white men” determining “what the economy needs”. To repeat, that’s the Bank of
England Monetary Policy Committee, and second the OBR.
But
second, Ms Leadsom manages to combine racism, sexism and ageism in one short
phrase. Is that some sort of record?
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