Assume the economy is at
capacity. If commercial banks lend more, and sums borrowed are spent, that
raises demand, which is not allowable: government / central bank will raise
interest rates. So (roughly speaking) no increase in lending takes place and no
net money creation takes place.
Alternatively, if interest
rates are not raised, then inflation will ensue, which reduces the real value
of all existing loans and money. So again, no net money creation takes place,
roughly speaking.
However, there is a way in
which commercial banks do create money, but it doesn’t involve lending, and it’s
as follows.
Where a non-bank entity is
looking simply for liquid working capital or day to day transaction money, and
has no intention of being in debt to their bank ON AVERAGE AND OVER THE YEAR AS
A WHOLE, then a bank will happily oblige: that is, it will “monetise the
non-bank entity’s collateral”. Put another way, in exchange for dumping £X of
collateral with a bank, the bank will credit about £X to the relevant customer’s
account.
But if the customer is
simply after transaction money rather than loan, the balance on that account
will be MORE THAN £X as often as it is LESS THAN £X.
In fact in scenario, far
from the customer being in debt to the bank, the bank is in debt to the
customer. That is, where the balance on the account is £X, the customer owes
the bank nothing. Whereas the bank owes the customer something very real: the
collateral.
QED. Well, food for thought,
anyway.
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