Ever since Martin
Wolf recently put in a good word for full reserve banking, numerous
self-appointed experts have come out of the woodwork to attack the idea:
unfortunately most of them have little idea as to what full reserve banking
actually consists of.
This Daily
Telegraph article by Jeremy Warner is the latest example. His attempt
to defend the existing banking system is a hoot. Of course the Telegraph is not
exactly an intellectual’s newspaper: it’s a stout defender of the status quo
and the conventional wisdom. Anyway, let’s run thru the article.
Fraud.
In his
second paragraph, Warner says that what banks have done is “verging on the
fraudulent”. Verging? OMG: banks have actually been found guilty of out and out
fraud and on a HUGE scale. For example in the UK they tried to defraud their customers out of
billions via the infamous “Payment Protection Insurance” scam. While in the US,
J.P.Morgan has been fined £20bn (yes billion not million) for various crimes
including laundering Mexican drug money. And other banks have been fined
similar sums for the same and similar offences. And then there was Libor
manipulation.
And Warner
says “verging on the fraudulent”. Who does he think he’s fooling? Ah yes:
Telegraph readers.
Warner
the Luddite.
Later, in
Warner’s second paragraph, he claims that banks were “mere conduits for much
wider causes, in particular the propensity of Western governments to compensate
for the jobs and wage growth being lost to technology….”. Wait a moment: the
idea that machinery or improved machinery or technology destroys jobs is the
old Luddite argument. I thought we disposed of that one about two centuries
ago. But evidently Telegraph journalists still cling to the idea.
The
transition to full reserve.
Next,
Warner claims that full reserve banking is highly unlikely to be implemented
because the “the transitional challenges would be too great”. Well Milton
Friedman thought the “transitional challenges” would be a doddle. His actual
words were: “There is no technical problem in achieving a transition from our
present system to100% reserves easily, fairly speedily, and without any serious
repercussions on financial or economic markets.” (That’s from Friedman’s book, “A
Program for Monetary Stability”).
In view of
the fact that Warner’s claim there conflicts with one of the world’s all time
greatest economists, it would be nice if Warner went into the above point in
more detail. But I doubt he’ll bother.
Probably
the reason Warner thinks the “transition” would be a challenge is that he has
not studied the subject: in particular, the only advocates of full reserve that
he cites are Messers Benes and Kumhoff, the authors of an IMF paper on the
subject. As I myself pointed out, that
IMF paper is a long, complicated and not a brilliant piece of work.
The man
of straw argument.
Next,
Warner says full reserve advocates claim: “The iniquities of the credit cycle
are abolished, governments become the only source of money creation, and the
politicians can print money to their hearts’ content to wipe out public debt,
pay for healthcare, fund infrastructure and all the other worthy public causes
that private bankers are reluctant to finance.”
Yes, and Jeremy Warner thinks the Earth is flat, the Sun
revolves round the Earth and two plus two makes five. Any old clot
can attribute obviously daft ideas to others.
The
boom-bust cycle.
And
finally, Warner the clot claims “…it takes quite a leap to think governments
likely to be better at monetary management than markets.” Well now that point
has actually also been made by other opponents of full reserve and Warner’s
point there contains a whapping great self-contradiction as follows.
The
“monetary management” to which Warner refers aims (amongst other things) to
control or ameliorate the boom-bust cycle. That is, full reservers like
Positive Money advocate that during a recession or “bust”, government and
central bank (GCB) should create and spend extra money into the economy. And
conversely, during an inflationary boom they should do the opposite, namely
withdraw money from the economy.
But Jeremy
Warner himself (like 95% of economists) has no big objections to GCB trying to
tone down the boom-bust cycle, e.g. by adjusting interest rates, fiscal
stimulus, etc. But as soon as full reservers advocate that GCB try to tone down
the cycle, Warner &Co object.
Even more
hilarious is the fact that over the last two or three years, governments have
ACTUALLY IMPLEMENTED exactly the anti cyclical policy advocated by full
reservers. That is, governments have implemented fiscal stimulus and followed
that by QE. And that of course comes to exactly the same thing as the “print
and spend” policy advocated by full reservers (and indeed advocated by Keynes).
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