Nice to see
Warren Mosler and “Modern Money Theory” mentioned in an article by David
Graeber in today’s Guardian.
The article
backs Mosler’s plan to have the Irish government (and perhaps other periphery
countries) issue bonds which would include a proviso that in the event of
default, the bonds could be used to pay Irish taxes. And that would lead
according to Graeber to Irish citizens experiencing “quick relief from cuts”.
Well the
first problem is that if a government feels like cheating on its creditors by
refusing to give them Euros in exchange for their bonds, why would it HONOUR
its agreement with creditors in the form of giving creditors what amounts Euros
in the form of using bonds to pay taxes with? It’s a bit like the US government
refusing to pay holders of maturing
Treasuries any US dollars, while offering to pay them in Canadian dollars, Yen,
or any other currency they liked. In effect, the US government would not have
defaulted.
Next, Mosler
and Graeber (like numerous economists) have not grasped the basic problem in
the EZ, which is disparities in competitiveness as between periphery and core.
The whole point of imposing austerity on the periphery is to get periphery
costs down and enable them to regain competitiveness. Of course it’s a thoroughly
ham-fisted way doing the job, and it involves huge social costs. But that’s
common currencies for you.
Put that
another way, if periphery countries are reflated via “Mosler bonds” or in any
other way, that will just raise inflation in the periphery relative to the core,
which just delays the date at which they finally regain competitiveness, during
which time they go further into debt. And their creditors may just not be
willing to lend.
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