Most people
know that the cost of printing a £10 note is about 1/000th of its
face value. And in fact the cost of money creation is even less than that
because the vast bulk of money is simply a book keeping entry or a number in a
computer.
But
amazingly, it’s far from unusual for so called professional economists to put
arguments that assume that the cost of creating and spending £X is £X.
Of course if
the amount of money printed is excessive and leads to excess inflation, then
clearly there is a REAL COST. Plus in the latter instance there is a cost in
the sense that government steals purchasing power from the private sector.
But assuming
there is room for extra demand, then there is no real cost involved in having
government print and spending £X (or – the political right’s preferred option –
leave public spending untouched while cutting taxes).
Maturity
transformation.
A common
example of failure to appreciate the above “zero cost of printing” point comes
in the popular argument for maturity transformation (put for example by Paul
Krugman and Brad DeLong.).
That’s the
idea that if commercial banks are allowed to borrow short and lend long (i.e.
do maturity transformation), then better use is being made of depositors’
funds.
Now clearly
there is a good argument for making the best use possible of REAL ASSETS. But
“funds” are very different: they are simply book keeping entries or numbers in
computers.
And there is
no pressing reason to make good use of those numbers because those numbers can
be added to by any amount we choose and at any time.
Or in the
words of Milton Friedman, “It need cost society essentially nothing in real
resources to provide the individual with the current services of an additional dollar
in cash balances. (Ch 3 of his book “A Program for Monetary Stability”)
Now borrow
short and lend long is inherently risky. Hundreds of banks throughout history
have been brought down by taking that strategy too far, with Northern Rock
being only the most recent example.
But the
risks, and the associated REAL COSTS can be removed by banning or clamping down
on “borrow short and lend long” while compensating for that with a measure that
is totally costless: printing and distributing more money.
Brad DeLong.
Brad DeLongpretty much repeats the above Krugman article here. That is, DeLong says that
the effect of banning maturity transformation would be deflationary, plus he
suggests (penultimate sentence) that that could be compensated for by having
government print and distribute money.
Quite right.
So why not go for it? That is, why not dispense with the risks and REAL COSTS
involved in maturity transformation, and make up for that with a totally
costless measure: having government print and spend more money into the
economy?
Another
example of a so called professional economist making the same mistake is
Dimitri Papadimitriou who claims that full reserve banking would be
“chronically reliant on demand injections from government”.
Well the
word “chronic” is just emotive propaganda. But certainly implementing full
reserve would have an initial deflationary effect, because it restricts what
commercial banks can do, and that which make necessary some (costless) money
printing.
And Jan
Kregel makes the same fallacious criticism of full reserve (p.6, 1st
col.) in the same paper.
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