Martin Wolf is my
favourite economics commentator. His article
in yesterday’s Financial Times (“Hair of the dog risks a bigger hangover for Britain”)
rightly criticises the absurd idea that raising private debts so as to boost housing
prices is supposedly good, whereas raising public debt so as to boost
government spending or indeed private spending is allegedly bad. The “boost
private debt” idea has of course been adopted enthusiastically by the UK
government with its “Help to Buy” scheme, and other schemes designed to
encourage all and sundry become indebted to commercial banks.
As everyone apart from
the inmates of mental hospitals knows, it was excessive private debt that
sparked off the crisis. So it rather looks like Britain is ruled by people who
have recently escaped from mental hospitals.
But Martin Wolf isn't perfect.
He rather goes off the rails in his last paragraph. He says “Is there a way
out? Export-led growth would be one, though that only shifts the credit growth
abroad. A far more radical possibility is monetary financing of government
deficits. That is unthinkable now…”
Why? He doesn’t tell us.
Both Positive Money and
MMTers advocate that if extra demand is needed it should be effected by having
government and central bank create money and spend it, and/or cut taxes.
Assuming the economy really does have significant spare capacity, that won’t be
inflationary.
Of course the additional
money in private sector hands MIGHT PROVE inflationary in a year or two. But
then even if the amount of base money in private sector hands were half it’s
present level, an outburst of irrational exuberance is still possible and might
be inflationary.
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