Randall Wray is an enthusiastic supporter of what can loosely be described as make work / job creation /
workfare schemes. Along with other supporters of the latter he refers to that
sort of subsidised work as “Job Guarantee” (JG). That’s in an article
of his entitled “The Answer to the Unemployment Problem is More Jobs”.
Unfortunately he seems to think
that what he calls “decent wages” can be paid for that sort of work. As he puts
it, “So here’s my puzzlement. Why won’t progressives try to help develop the
moral framing to support jobs-for-all? At decent wages.”
The answer to his “puzzlement” is that “progressives”, or at least the
economically literate ones have tumbled to a bit of macroeconomics as follows.
If those on JG work are paid “decent wages”, then their incentive to seek
regular or non-subsidised work is destroyed. That in turn reduces aggregate
labour supply, which is inflationary, which in turn necessisates a cut to
demand, which in turn means unemployment returns to approximately its original
level. In short, JG has not created any additional work.
Worse still, it has replaced regular or viable work with less viable or
subsidised JG work.
But that’s not to rule out JG schemes. It’s just that “decent wages” are
pie in the sky. Or put another way, there is method in the UK’s current JG
scheme, the Work Programme, which involves those concerned being paid whatever
they’d have got on benefits.
Put another way, for JG to work, there has to be what might be alled a “workfare
element”: i.e. “do this job else your benefit gets cut”. The inevitability of
that workfare element was pointed out by the Swedish labour market economist,
Lars Calmfors, and myself twenty years ago.
The only way round the latter problem is to make up for the above reduced
job search efforts by having the state do more job searching, i.e. spending
more on state run employment agencies. However that costs. And given the less
then brilliant output from JG jobs, it is questionable as to whether the
combination of well paid JG work and spending millions on state employment
agencies would give us a net increase in GDP. After all, the purpose of work is
to PRODUCE, isn't it? That is, the purpose is to increase GDP.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Post a comment.