In
this Vox article
entitled “Shadow banking and the economy” the authors’ first point in favour of
shadow banking is that it creates “money like liquid securities”. As they put
it, “shadow banking adds value by creating money-like liquid securities from
risky illiquid assets. While this process is inherently unstable, simply
shutting it down risks damaging liquidity provision to the real economy.”
Well
the first flaw in that argument is that it’s NOT JUST shadow banks that perform
the above function: ALL BANKS create money – at or least under the existing /
fractional reserve banking system they do. Under full reserve, COMMERCIAL BANKS
don’t create money.
Second,
we do not need shadow banks, or indeed commercial banks in general, in order to
supply us with “money-like” stuff (aka “money”). The government / central bank
machine (gcbm) can supply ANY AMOUNT of money ANYTIME. That is, it can create
and spend base money into the economy (net of taxes collected) whenever an
economy looks like it’s short of liquidity and unemployment in consequence is
on the rise. Indeed there has been an UNPRECEDENTED increase the proportion of
our money supply coming from central banks over the last three years or so
thanks to QE.
Just
to clarify, the statement that gcbm can “create and spend money net of taxes
collected” means that gcbm can supply the economy PURELY by increased spending, OR BY cutting
taxes while leaving government spending constant, or some mixture of the two.
Now
who is best at supplying us with money? Is a collection of “shadowy”
organisations which trick households into taking out NINJA mortgages, and NINJA
car loans, and which cause the world economy to almost collapse? Or is it gcbm
which at least has its heart in the right place, even it is less than 100%
competent? (And central bank staff are doubtless the first to admit that their
forecasts are less than 100% accurate.) There’s no choice is there?
And
just to add insult to injury, even if we do have shadow and other banks supply
us with money, gcbm STILL HAS TO do a HUGE AMOUNT of money creation /
destruction when the commercial banks mess things up. You’ve doubtless hear of
Quantitative Easing, the biggest central bank money creation episode since
WWII.
And
just to add even more insult to injury, the fact of having gcbm supply us with
all the money we need does not stop commercial banks granting NINJA mortgages
or granting other risky loans. In favour of allowing risky loans there is the
fact that if risky loans had never been allowed over the last 300 years, the
industrial revolution would never have taken place. On the other hand it could
be argued that government should tighten up on NINJA mortgages and loan sharks
preying on the less well off. That’s a grey area.
The
important point is that stopping commercial or shadow banks creating money does
not of itself stop them offering any specific type of loan, like NINJA
mortgages.
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